More than two decades into China’s super-investments in Africa, a less than practical policy is becoming clear. As with Sri Lanka, China apparently expects a number of African governments to default on their loan agreements, followed by Chinese assumption of major parastatals like the electricity grid, ports and airports.
Category: Global Relations
Scary Books
Truth is like the massive granite boulders of the Serengeti that have laid on earth for two billion years. They don’t move. Lies have no purchase on earth. They blow away.
“Whilst we are led to believe that ‘aid’ …to the [African] continent is a mark of generosity, research shows that this is a deception… Aid to Africa amounts to less than $30 billion per year [but] the continent is losing $192 billion annually in other resource flows, mainly to the same countries providing that aid.”
Christmas in The Congo
Another major war begins soon in Africa. It will begin shortly after the democratic mockery scheduled for December 23, when the powers in Kinshasa are “re-elected” and the heavily armed militias particularly in Kivu in the east try to secede.
Who cares? Well I know it’s been difficult to muster your attention for Yemen, but let me put it this way. Use a smartphone? Have an xBox? Then you’re directly responsible for this looming human calamity.
Tears for Choice
Like many I found my forefinger wiping a tear from my cheek. President Buhari of Nigeria helped me to understand. The angst of the world today – in sorrow squeezed from our souls in grand cathedrals by military philharmonics – comes from our conflict about what the hell to do with our elite:
“President Buhari of Nigeria said of George Bush that “the late president’s love for his family and country” ensures that “his children take up leadership roles and are steadily breeding a new generation of great thinkers and leaders.”
Fertile elite, praised by African elite.
Jealousy, Loss and Anger. Bush was not as spectacular a leader as was his funeral.
Much was said about his excellence in foreign policy and the successes he achieved maintaining a world order post-Soviet collapse. That strikes me as grandiose, but I’m more certain that Bush’s foreign policy in Africa was among the most destructive in American history.
Deutsche Welle’s Isaac Mugabi confirms, “There [was] little reporting in Africa generally about [Bush’s] funeral, perhaps because of his failed foreign policy on the continent.”
Mugabi sums up the many mistakes in Africa that Bush made during his short four years in the single travesty, “Black Hawk Down.”
This incident epitomizes America’s many failures over the last century: Misplaced support for dictators and warlords in conflicts artificially diagnosed globally as East-vs-West, then pitifully restrained military action that fails, followed by an abrupt withdrawal that destroys the initial ally.
This couldn’t be more different from the accolades for Bush’s post-Soviet “global maintenance.”
That’s because in the 1990s Africa didn’t rank “global maintenance.” Its exclusion from the interest of the elite rulers of the world followed their maxim to pay less attention to people than GDPs.
Bush was a good, loyal and faithful family man. He was a steady, institutional conservative ruler. He was part of an elite dynasty that controlled the world.
He could afford to be good and compassionate and humorous, because he and his family were richly protected from the failures he actually suffered. I would love to have had such a life. Now it’s gone.
It’s gone because the power of the elite for the first time in human history is being rattled from pole to pole. Yellow vests and temple shootouts, opioid orgies and neo-fascism, neglected Puerto Ricos and 80 mph speed limits, Brexits and bitcoins – it’s all a massive, indistinct and unstoppable protest against the elite.
Trump and others like him emerge from this maelstrom because the elite still have enough power to exclude any viable alternatives to them. We have no choice.
They force on us the old nostalgia or the random, uncertain reign of the chaotic infidel. We have no other choice, and it’s infuriating. The nincompoop now over reigns the casket. In the moments of peaceful exhaustion this grows tearful.
Congo Cover
There are other reasons than “the threat of terror” that prompted America to close its embassy in the DRC (Democratic Republic of the Congo) yesterday.
I know really good, young people who have recently left the African service of the State Department as the Trump administration systematically hammers down our foreign service. There’s always been terror in the DRC. There’s just now fewer, lower paid, less capable Americans to deal with it.
Pithy Visit
Melania Trump’s week-long trip to Africa ended in disgrace. Two of Africa’s most powerful women, one in Nigeria and one in Kenya, bitterly criticized her for coming, going so far as to call her a “racist.”
Why? Because she was wearing a pith helmet?
Hunger
There are simpler, more horrid facts to explain the world’s relatively recent embrace of populism and authoritarianism than income and gender inequalities or climate change.
Hunger.
War Wrath
Africans from every part of the continent look to South African for global guidance. And South Africa is telling them to dump the United States. Trump has destroyed “any reservoir of trust in American words and promises.”
Look instead to: Germany, for international norms and decency; China, for economic directions and instructions; and … get this … Russia for global security. “… this, sadly, is the world that Donald Trump hath wrought,” South Africa’s Daily Maverick sums it up today.
Strike Two
The Obama family just took a “secret safari” in Tanzania in a private reserve owned by an anti-conservationist American billionaire who was fined $2 million by Fish & Wildlife for changing the tidewaters of Chesapeake Bay, who has been charged by Tanzanian groups for illegal draining of the Grumeti River and for supporting the Road-Through-The-Serengeti, and who currently is knee-deep in a controversy regarding Harvey Weinstein.
See a lot of lions on your safari, Barak? #MeToo on my last safari.
No He Didn’t
Today in Johannesburg President Obama delivered what his PR people advised in advance would be “the most important speech since his presidency.”
African media went bonkers, believing that it would be in Africa that Obama trounced Trump, pummeled Putin and praised right-hearted souls around the world. It didn’t happen. His speech was inspirational but totally inadequate for our times. I was sorely disappointed.
Trump Trade
Until Trump Africans relied heavily on an unilateral trade policy first passed by Congress in 2000 called AGOA. This week’s annual AGOA convention in Washington did not go well, but … they seemed to have a good time. What?
Yes, it was just another lark, as most African officials understand so well. Conferences and other international meetings are all for show. The only thing that matters in much of Africa, and what Africans now believe is the only thing that matters in America, is the chief of state. America is nothing more or less than Trump.
The Chinese Core
As the world fractures, the Chinese/African partnership of the last two decades is also coming apart, and the cleaver is racism. It’s a remarkable story and one that mirrors similar stories all around the world.
The best example is Kenya’s new railway, funded, built and now operated by the Chinese. As China contracts, as the world decays into smaller pieces, Chinese racism has become an explosive issue in Kenya.
Abandonment
Only one country in the entire history of humankind has voluntarily given up a complete, modern nuclear arsenal : South Africa. And they did so even while the one other country being asked to do so at the time, Israel, refused.
Times were much different in 1991. Virtually all South Africans agree, today, that they took the right decision. They retain a robust civilian nuclear industry that supplies much electricity, they are leaders in nuclear science, but the missiles of the world are not pointed at them.
So do they think North Korea can be convinced to join them?
Trade Warring
The developing global trade war has already reversed a downwards trend in the price of African vacations and will likely spurn increases.
Unilateral tariffs of the sort imposed by Trump always stifle international trade. When international trade declines leisure travel declines. Sectors with relatively small volumes of business – such as adventure and exotic travel like African safaris – react to these sudden declines with price increases.
The Galleries
Wonder if we’re in a new cold war? Take a look at how Africa responded to the opening of the new U.S. embassy in Jerusalem yesterday.
Two-thirds of the 32 countries attending the ceremony were from Africa. Kenya, South Africa and Nigeria – normally close allies and the powerhouse of much of the continent – took different positions: only South Africa protested, recalling its ambassador.