The Berlin Conference Continues to Plague Africa 125 Years After the Fact

The Berlin Conference Continues to Plague Africa 125 Years After the Fact

African Ethno-Political Divisions Before the Berlin Conference
African Ethno-Political Divisions Before the Berlin Conference
African Political Division After the Berlin Conference 1885
African Political Division After the Berlin Conference 1885

By Conor Godfrey

In 1884-85, European governments essentially drew a map of Africa on the back of a cocktail napkin in Berlin. This map carved Africa into a series of illogical states and spheres of influence that took little stock of realities on the ground and laid the framework for more than a century of civil strife.

Last week, the artificiality of the African political map was thrown into sharp relief by a series of tragedies.

Following the violence in central Nigeria, Muammar Gaddafi, well known for his misguided remarks and absurd costumes, suggested that Nigeria split into two states– one for the mainly Muslim North and one for the Christian and animist South.

On the other side of the continent, violence erupted in Sudan ahead of the planned referendum on an independent South Sudan.

Absurd borders are the rule not the exception in Africa. Europeans carved some of the great pre-colonial empires into unruly hodgepodges of people-groups who often lacked a shared history and had competing interests.

Look at the Gambia!

As the Europeans entrenched their rule, they imbued these imaginary lines with more and more meaning until state borders became faits accomplis. So what now?

The borders have created facts on the ground and there is no going back.

Mr. Gaddafi suggests Balkanizing the state(s) in question and equitably sharing resource wealth.

He uses the separation of India to substantiate his argument, but conveniently omits the ensuing civil strife and eventual civil war that took the lives of hundreds of thousands of people in that region.

He also appears to forget the previous attempt by the Igbo people to form their own state in South Eastern Nigeria. This event led eventually to the brutal Biafra-Nigerian war.

If Mr. Gaddafi wanted to partition every state in Africa that contains people groups deeply divided by tribe, ethnicity, or faith, he would quickly run out of fingers and toes.

This strategy would make more sense if religion and culture were truly at the core of these conflicts– but they are not.

Grazing rights, water rights, and land rights.

Access to political power, access to education, and access to jobs.

These are the flash points that drive conflicts in Africa.

Religion and culture will only fuel conflict when trampled on.

Even denying people a place to worship or undercutting some other important aspect of cultural identity rarely boils over into large-scale violent conflict unless people fear for the economic rights I listed above.

As conflicts persist, people tend to re-characterize resource based conflicts along ethnic or cultural lines, but I think that solving the resource and power-equity issues at the core of a dispute will eventually succeed in neutralizing the ethnic component.

The most effective way to deal with the fallout of the Berlin conference would be to strengthen regional bodies. ECOWAS, SADC, COMESA, even the Arab League, and especially the African Union.

This will build regional and continent-wide capacity to enforce treaties, mediate between parties, commit peace-keepers to patrol sensitive territory, and knock heads together when necessary.

Currently the various regional groupings in Africa play an important but limited role. I think this might be changing…

While ECOWAS’ response to the recent slew of coups in West Africa drew criticism from some quarters for its inconsistency, its mediation eventually proved crucial to diffusing tensions.

SADC’s attempt to mediate in Zimbabwe (spearheaded by South Africa) has not had the desired result thus far, but even the lack of progress demonstrates the need for a regional body in Southern African with more clout.

Regional stakeholders in ECOWAS urgently need to enter the scene more forcefully in Nigeria. Perhaps Burkina Faso’s Blaise Compaore could build on his successful mediation in Guinea and the Ivory Coast by wading into Nigerian politics.

The upcoming elections in Sudan will also offer the African Union a chance to prove its worth.

How the U.S. Could Transform the International Criminal Court

How the U.S. Could Transform the International Criminal Court

Members of ICC
Members of the ICC

By Conor Godfrey

This past week the International Criminal Court (ICC) added genocide to the charges currently pending against Sudanese President Omar al-Bashir.

This seemingly unenforceable addition has rekindled debate over the relevance of the ICC.

In March 2009, the ICC issued an arrest warrant for Mr. Bashir, to which the Sudanese president retorted, “Dissolve these documents in water and drink them.”

Even though the indictment severely curtailed Mr. Bashir’s travel schedule, few people believe that he will see his day in court

Al-Jazeera’s Riz Khan recently hosted chief ICC prosecutor Luis Moreno-Ocampo to discuss the relevance of the ICC and respond to criticisms that the ICC focuses its investigations on non-Western, specifically African, governments.

One listener from Kenya emailed Riz Khan with the following complaint worth reprinting in full:

“Why is the ICC’s name not changed to African Criminal Court (ACC)?

Apparently, the court only issues arrest warrants for African leaders who committed crimes, while the Western leaders are treated as if their gross human rights violations were not crimes.

Why is Ocampo not issuing an arrest warrant for Bush, Blair, or Israeli leaders?”

Mr. Ocampo’s response: “America is not part of the treaty.”

He could have rephrased that by saying—yes Mr. listener from Kenya, you are absolutely right.

And what about Israel’s three week war in the Gaza Strip?

Well, the ICC does not yet recognize the Palestinian territories as a state, and therefore legal obstacles must be cleared before taking action.

And of the 14 indictments so far, how many have been issued against African leaders? All 14.

Ignoring the complexity of the issue for the moment, you can see how easily opinion leaders in the non-Western world could frame the ICC as a Western weapon. The story practically tells itself.

The funding for the ICC also raises questions about its biases.
ICC Funding pie chart

Given these gross inequalities, detractors say we should scrap the ICC. Wrong. America should sign up.

If the U.S. fears the ICC could launch politically motivated assaults on U.S. personnel, then they should invest heavily in the ICC process to ensure the court’s independence.

The American exceptionalism that dominated post-cold war thinking must evolve.

By subordinating national power to international norms, the Unites States plays a greater role in shaping those norms.

This will extend U.S. power and protect U.S. interests in the wake of unilateralism’s fall from grace.

The majority of reasons listed for the U.S. refusal to participate in the ICC as a member represents little more than a transparent attempt to remove the U.S. and U.S. personnel from the purview of international Justice.

Moreover, by more than 2 to 1, Americans favor participating in the ICC as a member. (Though admittedly 21% of American’s pleaded ignorance.)

The U.S. entry would revitalize the court and put its detractors on their heels. Many non-signatories would reevaluate their position, and the increased legitimacy of the court would make non-compliers less likely to support those indicted. As long as U.S. personnel, power, and resources remain on the sidelines the listener from Kenya will be right—we might as well call it the ACC.

On Safari: Migration Outstanding

On Safari: Migration Outstanding

Serengeti's southern grassland plains.
Serengeti's southern grassland plains.
It was slightly wetter than normal for my Gustafson safari which ended Monday, and the migration was outstanding!

The unequivocal highlight was the day we left Olduvai Gorge for Ndutu, spending the entire day on the grassland plains northeast and south of Naabi Hill. We drove and drove and only rarely found areas with no horizon-to-horizon wildebeest.

Tour organizer Gherry Gustafson said she was “overwhelmed” by the migration. She and her husband, Leland, had just been in Kenya last October and realize now that the migration in the Mara during the dry season is but a fraction of what we see right now on the southern plains of the Serengeti.

On the day we traveled north towards Moru, we could see from Naabi Hill’s viewpoint innumerable files of wilde covering the southern grassland plains, right on queue.

The safari started in fire devastated Arusha National Park, and I could see the effects most seriously in the state of the many previously beautiful crater lakes.

They are all now filled with algae and there was not a bird to be seen. This is the result of heavy ash that “strangled” the lakes. I expect it will take at least a year to fully recycle.

But in Tarangire we hit so many elephant that I keep having to remind myself that this is not “the season” for elephant. And, in fact, true to researcher Charles Foley’s explanations, the ele we saw were all in the northern quadrant, more or less residents or travelers between Tarangire and other northern parks.

Numerous times we were engulfed by ele. Phillip Haney was almost touched by the trunk of a curious bull.

The wetness of the season was evident everywhere, and Lake Manyara – nearly dried out at this time last year – was well beyond its normal shorelines. And as a bonus for us the near shore was plastered with I suspect hundreds of thousands – if not millions – of flamingo.

And the crater was incredibly wet. The Mugie River was overflowing its banks menacingly flooding the northeast sector. And thousands of wilde and zebra were clogging all the roads, since that was the only dry place around.

But the rain was not as heavy as in neighboring Kenya, where floods in the north have been so severe that a number of safari camps and lodges in Samburu have been wiped out.

More on that after my next safari, starting in a few days!

Elephant Now Safe, Are People?

Elephant Now Safe, Are People?

CITES bans ivory sales.
CITES bans ivory sales.
Elephant are safe for the moment, but what about the people they’re trampling?

The CITES convention in Doha yesterday strongly rejected Tanzania and Zambia’s petition for a one-off sale of warehoused ivory. I think that’s the right decision, but will others step up to protect ordinary citizens?

(And note that the Obama administration became a pivotal force in denying the Zambia and Tanzanian petitions. This after months of silence on the issue.)

In Nairobi where I currently am staying between two safaris, the Kenyan media is jubilant. It was a page one story in Nairobi’s main newspaper, the Daily Nation. “Our elephants are safe, for now” was the story’s headline.

In Tanzania there are rumblings that the country “should take things into its own hands” and the tired refrain that the outside world is meddling in Tanzanian affairs.

“Should this meeting fail to consider this proposal, we run the risk of enhancing hostility against elephants by our local community especially where human-elephant conflicts are prevalent. More elephants will be killed,” Tanzania’s tourism minister, Shamsa Mwangunga said to the convention.

Bad argument, but Shamsa has a history of pretty bad arguments.

The argument that won the day was unequivocal: the results of CITES allowing two one-off sales in 1999 and 2008 are clearly documented as being followed by increased periods of poaching. And despite the substantial increase in elephant populations, elephant poaching this year throughout East Africa is the highest in years.

More stunning even was a report by TRAFFIC, the wildlife trade monitoring group, released just last week that claimed Tanzania has been involved – at the government level – with the increased illegal ivory trade. That was a body blow to Shamsa.

So congratulations all around to those who fought the battle, and enormous relief that the U.S. came out of its cloak of secrecy definitely on the Kenyan side. But don’t forget, the human-elephant conflict is increasing as elephant populations increase, and that’s a problem that also needs urgent attention.

Is Guinea Ready to Exploit “A World Class Monster” Iron Ore Deposit?

Is Guinea Ready to Exploit “A World Class Monster” Iron Ore Deposit?

simandouSimandou_environment_25_rdax_100x150

By Conor Godfrey

The feasibility studies are complete.

The ore deposit in Simandou, Southern Guinea, is 66% iron (high quality), and is likely the largest undeveloped iron ore deposit in the world (110 km).

One stockbroker interested in the project was quoted as saying– “It’s a world-class monster.”

Over the next several years, mining giant Rio Tinto, in conjunction with state backed Chinese mining conglomerate Chinalco, will spend an initial 6 billion dollars developing the necessary infrastructure to extract Simandou’s ore.

According to Rio Tinto executives, this infrastructure will include a trans-Guinean rail line from Simandou to the coast, a new deep water port South of the Capital Conakry, and of course, the infrastructure surrounding the mines themselves.

As Guinean officials were cleaning the drool off their desks, Rio Tinto announced that the Guinean government stood to reap 200 million dollars in tax revenue from the first few years of operation with a proportionally higher rake as mine output increases.

This is more money than all the other concessions in Guinea generate combined.

I hope and fear in equal measure.

A trans-Guinean railway would increase Guinean commercial capacity by leaps and bounds.

The announcement also refocuses attention on the transition authorities promise to hold democratic elections this June.

How serendipitous would it be for the newly elected government to have 200 million extra USD to jump start social programs and convince the population that a civilian government will indeed make their welfare a priority?

(See “The Coup d’Etat is Back” for the other possibilities.)

Watch this Rio-Tinto video for a grandfatherly manager’s take on the benefits of Rio Tinto’s giant mine.

While I acknowledge the vast potential for social improvement this deposit offers, my sense of déjà vu is disconcerting.

The presence of mining giants in Guinea dates back to the mid-1980s (1996 for Rio Tinto). How much has Guinea’s overall social welfare improved since then?

Negligible, if at all.

Ideally, the Guinean government would be a relatively clean, efficient organization capable of speaking with one voice, striking hard bargains with the mining companies, and implementing effective monitoring and legal safeguards to ensure that the money flows into government rather than personal coffers.

I expect the Ghanaian government to perform in this fashion when they start producing oil at the end of this year.

Alas Guinea is not Ghana. Instead, Guinea occupies the 168th slot out of 180 on Transparency International’s Corruption Perceptions Index, the government is riddled with internal divisions, and mining revenue historically has financed homes in France rather than roads and electric grids in Guinea.

Do not mistake my apprehension as opposition to private sector development or resource exploitation.

I believe in the private sectors’ power to transform developing economies. I also believe that mineral resources, in consultation with local authorities and relevant environmental groups, should be exploited in a mutually beneficial way.

Yet, the current dynamics inside Guinea make this almost impossible. Rio Tinto’s mission is to satisfy shareholders—not to transform the culture of corruption in Guinea.

Currently, Rio Tinto’s PR and social responsibility departments are making all the right noises.

I have no doubt they will build a few schools and health clinics, offer several thousand local jobs, and hopefully make good on their promised trans-Guinean rail line.

Yet, I fear that generations from now when Guinea gets up off her knees and stands ready to use her natural bounty for the benefit of all Guineans, the wells will be dry, the mines stripped, and the foreigners gone in search of more low hanging fruit.

To avoid this, civil society, NGO’s, commercial partners, and donor countries should begin a full court press on Conakry to make government finances more transparent and ministers more accountable before the revenue from Simandou begins pouring in.

I will even make the naïve suggestion that civil society should force the government to draw up transparent development priorities, and then in conjunction with Rio Tinto, hire a credible outside auditor to report on how mining revenue is being collected and spent.

This would make far more difference to Guinea than a handful of schools or rural health centers.

Related Reading:

Rio Tinto’s Website devoted to the Project.

What To Do With All These Ex-Combatants?

What To Do With All These Ex-Combatants?

What Next?
What Next?

By Conor Godfrey

A friend of mine currently serving in Liberia recently related the following story about his friend Abdoulaye.

Abdoulaye’s store was robbed for several hundred US dollars.

After hearing the night watchman’s account and looking into the evidence, Abdoulaye concluded that the burglar had military training and was more than likely an ex-rebel from Liberia’s long and brutal civil war.

If anyone could recognize this, he could—being himself an ex-commander under Charles Taylor.

This story was related to me on the same day that I read about ex-combatants in the Congo who had been integrated into the Congolese military and were now extracting more from Congolese mines as soldiers than they ever were as rebels.

This is a real problem.

28 African States have been involved in at least one major conflict since 1980 and the continent is awash with former combatants.

Their resumes include weapons training, brutality, and a large network of similarly credentialed co-workers, but usually lack the skills to transition into civilian life.

Despite these challenges, so-called success stories abound.

USAID and other websites tout programs emphasizing job training, basic literacy and numeracy, psychological counseling, and a bevy of other seemingly logical steps to re-integrating militia members.

Even in Liberia, polling data suggests that the majority of ex-combatants feel accepted in their families and communities.

I believe that many of these programs do indeed help break the cycle of violence, but they are not a panacea.

Ex-Soldiers from Liberia and Sierra Leone were at the core of the group that massacred and raped demonstrators in Guinea last September.

Former combatants from other conflict countries now run criminal syndicates and extortion rings like those in the Congolese mines.

Policies surrounding re-integration send mixed signals.

The ICC spends millions of dollars attempting to convict officers at the same time that various truth and reconciliation committees try to make communities forgive and move forward.

These proceedings are further complicated by how national governments, local communities, and the international community view the combatants in question.

How politicized were the combatants?

How legitimate were their grievances?

Were they a legitimate resistance force like Umkhonto we Sizwe in South Africa?

Were they convicted of widespread atrocities like the Lord’s Resistance army?

Were they mild Islamists like the FLN in Algeria, or extremist members of Al-Qaeda?

Or maybe they were more like criminal gangs than armed forces.

Creative solutions exist.

In Saudi Arabia, Islamic radicals and their families are forced to attend classes taught by moderate Imams.

Next, they are given a dowry so that they might marry and become a stakeholder in a more moderate society.

In Liberia, the national commission in charge of disarmament and reintegration provided educational and vocational training to those willing to take it.

In Mozambique, combatants were paid a small stipend each month for 18 months so that they would not be a drain on their families or need to resort to crime.

In Sierra Leone, some former rebels were given motorcycles and licensed as moto-taxis.

Most countries employ a mix of vocational training and community based education programs designed to pave the way for former soldiers to come back home.

As conflicts in Sudan, the DRC, Nigeria, and elsewhere end (inshallah), regional and local actors need to have a plan in place to turn these traumatized young people into a productive force

General Macarthur said that “old soldiers never die they just fade away”–

There are worse things.

Guns, Germs, Steel, and Internet Access

Guns, Germs, Steel, and Internet Access

internet3
By Conor Godfrey

If you believe Jared diamond, geography gave certain parts of the world a first mover advantage that has exerted tremendous influence on world affairs from the dawn of agricultural societies to the present.

Around 8500 BC, the Fertile Crescent had 32 large seed grasses that lent themselves to rudimentary cultivation; Sub-Saharan Africa had 4.

Around the same time, Eurasia boasted all five of the important domesticateable animals while Africa had none.

In 2009, 74.2 % of people in North America could access the internet while 6.8 % of Africans could.

Guns, germs, steel, and internet access.

The internet’s growth in Africa will make this millennia old advantage as insurmountable as the guns that held the continent hostage in the 19th century, or it will be the great equalizer.

This process has already begun.

What do you do in Kenya if ants start eating your potato crop?

Well, you get on the Internet and learn that sprinkling wood ash on the plants will drive the ants away.

A “wired Imam” in Mali uses the Internet to promote tourism at Mali’s famous mud mosque in Djenne.

Some East African seamstresses receive orders via email.

My favorite thing about internet access is that it puts the onus on the user to take advantage of available resources as opposed to waiting for someone else to actualize their potential.

If you let your mind dwell for a moment on the social, political, and economic consequences of widespread internet use in Africa you will become dizzy.

What if protesters in African states could use web-based social networks like the Iranians?

Or if pictures of vote rigging in Benin made the rounds on youtube as fast as those of Burmese monks being beaten by security forces?

Access to micro-credit services like Kiva would skyrocket.

Banks and business records could be digitized.

The diaspora could lend their experience back home.

People could access legal information and use the law to their advantage.

Early warning systems for natural or manmade disasters could be improved.

People could learn languages, apply to international universities, and access an infinite variety of training materials online.

Officials would be scrutinized by a media with more access and resources.

I have to stop. I have gone and made myself dizzy.

All this is happening already but the pace of change will accelerate exponentially as more people get online.

So where are we now?

For the 60-100 million internet users in Africa (hard to figure when internet cafes account for much of the use), connecting remains slow and expensive—but this is changing fast.

From 2000 to 2009, internet access in Africa grew by well over 1000%.

Recently, a rash of privatizations in South Africa and elsewhere combined with infrastructural improvements to put more than 10% of South Africans online!

Surprised?
Surprised?
The chart on the left breaks the growth in internet usage down by country.

Projects like One Laptop Per Child and their competitors are striking deals with governments in Nigeria and Libya.

In rural Kenya, Google currently finances engineers from the University of Michigan to install small solar powered satellite dishes to connect villages to the web.

I am particularly impressed by the “hole-in-the-wall” learning centers inspired by Dr. Mitra’s success in India. He proved that children can teach themselves how to use the computer/internet without any supervision or guidance. Hole-in-the-Wall projects are now underway in Uganda.

The Next Generation of African Internet Users is On Their Way
The Next Generation of African Internet Users is On Their Way

Within a few generations these projects and their progeny will connect almost a billion African consumers/producers with the rest of the world

Geographic determinism be damned. The information age might just level a playing field that has not been level since 8500 BC.

Related Reading:

Mobile phones might be the best route for African internet users.

Stunning: But Not All Africa Has to Offer

Stunning: But Not All Africa Has to Offer

Kilimanjoro - Africa's Crowning Glory
Kilimanjoro - Africa's Crowning Glory

By Conor Godfrey

Last week, the New York Times travel section featured a two page special on Dogan-country in Mali.

Is West Africa finally on the tourism radar?

Inside an artisan cooperative frequented by foreign NGO workers in Conakry, Guinea, I once saw postcards for sale with Massai Morani on the front.

Stamps sold nearby featured elephants with Kilimanjaro in the background.

Don’t second guess yourself—Kilimanjaro is indeed further from the store in question than New York is from London.

I suppose “les blancs” (mostly white NGO employees) swinging through Conakry looking for “African” souvenirs bought out this bewildered woman’s supply of savannah and elephant paraphernalia so consistently that she was forced to ignore geographic realities and restock.

Why has East Africa monopolized the Western vision of the most biologically and culturally diverse continent on Earth?

Please do not misunderstand me.

The cradle of mankind in East Africa will nourish your soul and should certainly make your short list. That being said—so will West Africa.

Even in-transit, you will encounter West Africa’s fascinating search for its soul.

A rich and varied past informs a present riddled with uncertainty, and more importantly, with possibility.

Unlike coastal China, or in major cities in East Africa, the forces of modernity have not succeeded in casting traditional peoples and beliefs as anachronistic and backward.

You do not need to travel to mock villages or tourist markets where people in imitation traditional dress sell you tourist curios that would never grace the inside of their own homes.

Markets and village communities are vibrant and functional, and outside large cities, foreigners remain a curiosity as opposed to walking dollar signs.

Lets assume you believe West Africa is an interesting place; what would you do when you got there?

A few ideas…

Fly into Bamako, Mali and spend a few days hearing the best of the best play the Balafon and Kora in dives around the city.

By day check out the gigantic Bamako market famous for its Bogolan (Mud Cloth).

Take a three day cruise up the Niger river where you can sleep on the deck at night (or in a cabin if you prefer) and stare at a star-filled sky undimmed by ubiquitous electricity.

Tuareg_dunes

Step off the boat near Timbuktu where you can hire Tuareg guides to take you into the dessert and spend the night on the dunes.

Fly into Burkina Faso for the bi-annual African Film Festival and hob-knob with the African intellectual elite.

Travel through Guinea-Bissau where West African vitality meets Portuguese street life and café culture.

Hire a boat to maroon you on the wild and beautiful Bijagos Islands off the coast.

IMG_0030

Go to Guinea in June or early July when the so-called “Water Tower” of West Africa will provide endless opportunities to explore deserted waterfalls and some of the best hiking anywhere.

Spend a weekend in Sierra Leone at River Number 2.

These ideas and the hundreds of others I will resist listing are a mere sideshow to West Africans themselves.

All cultures claim to be hospitable, but other parts of the world are competing for second place.

West African hospitality will exhaust you.

Anytime you pass by strangers eating they will yell out “invitation!” and be unsurprised if you sit down to join them.

Many travelers trek through West Africa without ever knowing where they will stay. Introducing yourself to village authorities will almost always lead to more food than you can possible put in your stomach, a place to stay, and an army of children to do your bidding.

I have deliberately left out the awful transportation infrastructure, heat, and dirty urban spaces.

So I suppose West Africa is not for the infirm or those prone to carsickness, but the adventurous traveler will not be disappointed.

Piracy on The High Seas

Piracy on The High Seas

Today's Face of Piracy -- Hijacking More Than a Ship
Today's Face of Piracy -- Hijacking More Than Just the Ship

By Conor Godfrey

Over the past several days, news that French naval forces had captured ten pirate vessels coincided with reports of pirates seizing new ships and demanding hefty ransoms.

To Susie-Q public, piracy seems like a bad joke. Even the moderately well informed news consumer tends to picture a black Johnny Depp swilling rum on an African beach and blowing his hard earned ransom money on a few good nights in Margaritaville.

People ask how the world’s great powers let a few amateurs with motorboats push them around?

This image was cemented when American snipers killed three pirates in the Hollywood style rescue of Captain Richard Phillips. I could hear people around me thinking, “that’s right matey, look what happened when Uncle Sam got serious!”

However, the reality of modern piracy is complicated, expensive, and difficult to stamp out.

First some answers to the simple questions:

Why is it so hard to catch them?

Well, the twenty-odd warships on patrol cannot possibly cover the 1.1 million miles of ocean known as the Gulf of Aden. Pirates are also eschewing the heavily patrolled coastline and seizing ships up to 1,000 miles from the coast.

On the investigative side, the Somali economy runs almost entirely on cash, making it difficult to freeze pirate assets or follow the money back to the real movers and shakers.

Furthermore, the lack of an effective Somali government gives rise to a tragedy of the commons—who wants to foot the bill for stamping out piracy that effects everyone? (Sounds a bit like the Copenhagen Summit.)

How serious is the problem?

About 3.3 million barrels of oil pass through the Gulf of Aden every day. In any given year 20,000-30,000 ships use the Gulf to pass through the strait of Bab el-Mandab and onto the Suez Canal.

Where is the closest detour you ask? A mere 3,000 miles both ways around the Cape of Good hope.

The estimated 30 million dollars the pirates claimed in ransoms during 2008 accounts for only a tiny fraction of the overall cost to the global economy.

Rising insurance premiums, the cost of armed escorts, and fuel for detours constitute significant transaction costs for companies plying their trade in the Gulf of Aden.

The resurgence of piracy also says something important about the global system and Africa’s place in it.

Along with all the benefits of globalization came one significant drawback—the international system is now much easier to disrupt and those disruptions ripple further than ever before.

Buccaneers in Somalia with a few AK47s and the odd RPG can hurt the global economy to the tune of billions of dollars. (Estimates vary widely between 1 and 16 billion dollars annually.)

19 hijackers with box cutters can change the world.

Drug cartels based in South America can topple West African governments.

Bad dept in one sector of one country’s real estate market can trigger a cascade of financial failures all over the world. (Indulge the simplification to illustrate the point.)

Poverty and inequality unfortunately make Africa a likely breeding ground for such disruptors—be they pirates or pandemics.

While I have mixed feelings about globalization in general, I hope its benefits reach the underserved parts of Africa before those places protest their neglect by launching the next global menace.

Related Reading: Piracy Map

What Do Mudslides in Uganda and Riots in Nigeria Have in Common?

What Do Mudslides in Uganda and Riots in Nigeria Have in Common?

Degraded Hillside in Uganda
Greedy Waste of Land Becomes Tragic Waste of Lives

By Conor Godfrey

Last week mudslides in Uganda buried hundreds. Flash floods destroyed lives in Kenya, and deadly riots claimed the lives of 500+ people in Nigeria.

Why do these belong in the same category? In each case lives and livelihoods were lost to environmental degradation.

In the struggle to make people and policy-makers care about the environment, too much emphasis is put on protecting the environment in the long term.

Environmental degradation is killing people right now and costing the developed and developing world alike billions of dollars every year.

In Uganda, the story is straightforward.

Villagers cleared the trees anchoring the soil to make room for crops and feed their cooking fires.

When the skies opened up for three hours straight last Wednesday there were no roots to anchor the soil.

Mountainsides across Africa tell a similar story.

More extreme weather conditions, erratic rainfall and desertification force families to open up more land for cultivation.

Thus begins a series of knock-on effects that makes weather patterns even more extreme and rainfall more erratic, drastically increases the likelihood of natural disaster, and further entrenches the conditions that incented people to abuse the environment in the first place.

Nigeria’s riots epitomize step two in this saga.

As the Saharan dunes encroach on Nigerian farming and grazing land at a rate of .6 km per year, people are forced to abandon harvests and take their animals elsewhere.

Conflict inevitably arises with neighboring groups.

A 3.3% deforestation rate and other forms of degradation create similar dynamics across Africa’s most populous country.

While some commentators frame the recent riots as a religious conflict, I think religion merely deepens the pre-existing cleavages between groups competing for ever scarcer land and resources.

These regions would be prone to conflict even with excellent environmental stewardship, but the environmental degradation is putting competing groups on a crash course and acting as a catalyst for conflict

For too long, pristine forests and endangered baboons have been the faces of the environmental struggle.

Policy makers in emerging economies say that they must worry about people first and the environment second. This is a false choice.

People are exactly what is at stake.

The children buried in a Ugandan school, the dead bodies stuffed in wells in Nigeria, the poachers and rangers killed every year in East Africa; they are as much the victims of environmental degradation and climate change as the disappearing Rhinoceros, or the Cross-River Gorilla.

In this light, why should a state’s failure to act on environmental issues be judged any differently than fermenting instability through funding insurgents, or privileging one tribal group over another?

Must See: Habib Koite & Bamada – Live in the U.S.

Must See: Habib Koite & Bamada – Live in the U.S.

Traditional Music Resonates Today
Traditional Music Resonates Today

By Conor Godfrey

This month Habib Koite and his group Bamada will be playing in venues across the U.S.—you must not miss them.

Before I rave about Habib’s music, we should talk about the Griot tradition he comes from.

When I first arrived in Guinea, I stayed with a Malinke family (an ethnic group prevalent in Northern Guinea, Southern Mali, and the Northern Ivory Coast).

As an adopted son of this family, I was given the name Mamadi Dioubate. Mamadi is simply the name Mohamed re-engineered to fit the phonetics of the Malinke language. The history of Dioubate however, is the history of the West African Griot.

The following story was first related to me by another Peace Corps volunteer baptized a Dioubate, and subsequently recounted numerous times by Guineans and Malians with both major and minor variations to the story.

Listen to some balafon music while you read the story…

‘Sundiata Keita was the founder and most celebrated king of the Malian Empire. He also possessed the most famous balafon in the whole of the empire.

His balafon was made of ebony from the Central Africa forest, ivory, teak, and all the best materials the empire could offer, and no one could touch the balafon but Sundiata.

One day as Sundiata and his retinue rode out from his compound they heard stunningly beautiful balafon music coming from the Emperor’s compound.

Two things were immediately apparent. First: the music was coming from the Sundiata’s personal balafon. Second: the doomed soul playing it was beyond a doubt the best player in the empire.

So Sundiata and his followers turned around and followed the music back to the compound where Sundiata planed to kill the upstart. The emperor left his retinue outside and entered the room with the balafone.

There he confronted a peasant playing the balafon with such skill and beauty that even he, the emperor, could not have hoped to compete. Eventually the music petered out as the player realized his time was up.

Just as Sundiata opened his mouth to condemn the man the player took up the balafon mallets and started praising the emperor in time with the music.

He sang about how just Sundiata was, and how generous. He sang about how healthy the empire was, and how well Sundiata guided his people.

After a few minutes of this effusive and articulate praise, Sundiata made up his mind. He would not kill this peasant.

Instead the man would become his official praiser, following him across the emperor to extoll Sundiata’s virtues to his subjects. And thus was born the Griot tradition….

According to my older Malinke brother, Dioubate is a modern corruption of this original Griot’s family name.

Today numerous “Griot” families claim this legend or one of its variations as their founding myth.

Whether Dioubates or Cissokkos or Sussos formed the original caste of Griots, the Griot tradition is alive and well across West Africa.

From Mali down to the Ivory Coast all the way up to Western Sahara, Griots act as the keepers of oral tradition, entertainment at weddings and baptisms, and current affairs pundits.

In my village on Thursday nights, people showed up at the local youth center in droves to dance the Marmayia to traditional music played by Griots. (Until the local elder banned them; village rumor mill said his wives were having too much fun at the dances)

Habib Koite and countless other West African singers keep this tradition alive.

He sings mostly in Bambara (a Malian national language), and to a lesser extent in French, though he experiments with other Malian dialects and sometimes will even switch into English.

Habib blends regional styles from across Mali as well as incorporating flamenco rhythms and guitar from the Afro-Cuban tradition.

He is the darling of American stars like Jackson Browne and Bonnie Raitt, has been featured in Rolling Stone and Vanity Fair, and he even made an appearance on David Letterman.

I saw Habib & Bamada in Bamako, Mali and it was one of the best live performances I have ever seen.

Most Americans listen to world music because it intrigues them; the music uses new sounds and might produce a new and interesting mood.

People play world music in the kitchen while doing something else, or in the background of a cocktail party to lend the apartment a certain exoticism.

Habib’s music goes well beyond the merely ‘different’, or ‘interesting’—it will blow you away. You will soon be reaching for his CD in your car and trying your best to sing along in Bambara.


Watch a Burkina Native make the Balafon talk.

Concert schedule.

A great example of Soulful Habib Koite: N’Terri

Can Africans Afford the “African World Cup”—Does it Matter?

Can Africans Afford the “African World Cup”—Does it Matter?

South Africa - Champion Venue of World Cup 2010
South Africa - Champion Venue of World Cup 2010

By Conor Godfrey

World Cup fever is in full swing as the FIFA countdown clock hits 95 days, 22 hours, and 10 minutes. China’s olympic sized debutante ball in 2008 has made it all too easy for pundits to bill the upcoming World Cup as a continental coming out. I admit—I’ve fallen for the hype.

According to the optimists, the South African World Cup will create 129,000 jobs, make major strides in the battle against HIV/AIDS, increase the efficacy of South Africa’s security services, add 21 billion Rand to South Africa’s GDP, and cure cancer while halting global warming. (That last bit was all mine.)

And South Africans are dancing in celebration to K’naan’s “Wavin’ Flag,” the World Cup 2010 official song.

Naysayers claim that the so-called ‘African World Cup’ has priced Africans out of attending.

They are mostly right. Although the government reserved many $20 class-four tickets for South African residents, purchasing tickets elsewhere requires internet access and a credit card.

Those two qualifications alone would eliminate the majority of the continent. Furthermore, airfare and non-resident ticket prices would price out most fans from Ghana, Cote d’Ivoire, Cameroon, and Algeria who want to follow their teams to South Africa.

But this misses the point.

Yes the World Cup venues will be swarming with white football fans, and yes many African football fanatics will be forced to watch the game from a Nairobi bar, or village video club, but that’s ok! This does not detract from the fact that Africa has moved up a weight class.

Africa’s influence beyond its shores is surging across all sectors.

The continent’s impact on international culture, security, health, and politics will continue to grow in the decades ahead as its minerals reshape geo-politics, its native sons and daughters accumulate on foreign shores, and its stark inequalities foster global menaces like pandemics, piracy, and extremism.

In 95days, 22 hours, and 10 minutes South Africa will strike a blow against the image of a continent hell bent on self-destruction and replace it with one of hard earned success.

This World Cup Americans account for a larger percentage of foreign-bought tickets than ever before.

American families want to combine a chance to see the World Cup with a once-in-a-lifetime African safari. This means that thousands of Americans will come home in July with an image of Africa that rarely graces the front on the New York Times.

95 Days, 22 hours, and 10 minutes

OnSafari: Carbon Congestion

OnSafari: Carbon Congestion

Dar's Carbon WheelPrint
Dar's Carbon WheelPrint

Kenya’s President Kibaki has advised the developed world’s working group out of the Copenhagen climate summit that the Third World wants carbon credits for protecting its forests.

OK. And carbon debits, then, for their fuel inefficient commutes.

My first four days on safari were spent on business in the capitals of Nairobi and Dar-es-Salaam. I have meetings, go over the upcoming safari itineraries, meet friends and shake jetlag. And as I’ve written before in this blog, I never arrive except at night, because of the horrendous traffic.

I arrived Nairobi Thursday morning at 7 a.m.

This was not my fault, but American Airlines’, who had twice canceled my flights out of Chicago, first to Paris, and then to London. I arrived a day late, had to squeeze everything into a shorter time and had no choice.

And once again, it took us two hours to get from the airport to the Norfolk Hotel in downtown Nairobi, a drive that would take me 20 minutes when returning to the airport very early Saturday morning to fly to Dar.

But I have to admit I had no idea of how bad the traffic had become in Dar. It was Saturday morning! The commute from the Dar airport to The Retreat in the embassy “slip” area took two hours. And it’s a much shorter distance than from the Nairobi airport to the Norfolk. At times my cabbie simply turned off the engine and we would sit, encased by 18-wheelers, for 15 or 20 minutes!

Not my cabbie, or the 17-wheeler (one of the left rear wheels had disappeared) or even the put-putting dark smokey motorcycle was fuel efficient. In fact, these are the most fuel inefficient cars on earth.

Can you imagine the waste? I would look into the faces of the poor folks on buses and remember my conversation with the porter at the Norfolk who explained he had to get out of bed each morning at 3 a.m. to get to work by 8 a.m. He then left at 5 p.m. and would not get home until 8 p.m.

What an incredible waste, not only of carbon, but of human resources. I often hear Africans defending their agonizing struggle into development with the history of the developed world itself. “But think of your own Wild West,” the argument goes, “there was a lot of waste and graft back then.”

Yes, that part’s true. But it didn’t take Wyatt 2 hours to get to his sheriff’s office in a Corolla running on two cylinders.

Homosexuality or Rabid Homophobia: Which is the Foreign Import?

Homosexuality or Rabid Homophobia: Which is the Foreign Import?

By Conor Godfrey
In less than two weeks the Ugandan parliament will vote on one of the most virulent anti-gay bills in history. Ugandan Anti-Gay Bill 2009 mandates the death penalty for some homosexual acts and significant prison terms for people who fail to report homosexual activity to the authorities.

Mass rallies preceding the introduction of this legislation informed audiences that “[Homosexuality] is not a human right. It is not in-born. It is a behavior that is learned and it can be unlearned”.

Speakers also discussed the aims of homosexuals in Uganda; namely, “to defeat the marriage-based society and replace it with a culture of sexual promiscuity.”

If this sounds familiar—you are right! It is our very own hate-mongering A-team.

On the podium in Kampala were Americans like Scott Lively, author of such scientifically renowned literature as 7 Steps to Recruit-Proof Your Child [from homosexuality], and also the source of my favorite piece of detestable drivel—claiming that legalizing homosexuality would be akin to legalizing “molestation of children or having sex with animals.”

Wow. Read this page of Mr. Lively’s blog. I could not make the case against him better than he does.

While Scott Lively, Caleb Lee Brundidge, and Don Schmierer are currently trying to distance themselves from the more heinous clauses of the Ugandan Anti-Gay Bill, the fingerprints of the most intolerant currents in American religious thought are all over the proposal.

It turns out that religious extremist groups in the U.S. funnel millions of dollars into Uganda, and Kampala is a regular stop for some extremist evangelical groups when taking their show on the road. (See related reading at the end of this entry for more information on American evangelism in Africa)

These agents of intolerance tap into a deep well of anti-colonial sentiment by portraying homosexuality as a “foreign import”, promulgated by agents of an international gay movement. They simultaneously play on perennial fears of cultural subversion by describing the gay plot to recruit African youth.

Statements by Ugandan Minister of Ethics and Integrity reflect these fears: he says the proposed legislation will “protect the traditional family by prohibiting any form of sexual relations between persons of the same sex”.

Other commentators have portrayed homosexuality as un-African, and by extension, the Anti-Gay Bill as congruent with African values. This strikes me as dangerous hogwash.

Yes it is true: most African communities do not support homosexuality. An open homosexual relationship would render the participants unable to meet some of the reciprocal familial and communal obligations that structure life in many African communities (e.g. marrying, producing children).

However, this rabid homophobia that makes people scribble “Die Sodomite” on the walls in Kampala is down right un-African. I have never heard an African voice anything more extreme than a mild discomfort with homosexuality.

Parents in my village would sometimes scold young children for ‘playing’ impolitely, but never displayed the level of fear and hatred necessary for a gay witch-hunt.

Hate-mongering by American extremists elevated African homosexuality from a non-issue, practiced by some individuals in a private way, to a hate-fueled cause célèbre requiring mass rallies and draconian legislation.

This is not a condemnation of Christianity in Africa. People in the know consistently describe religious charities like Catholic Relief Services as among the best NGOs working on the continent.

I knew several missionary families in Guinea who treated their communities with respect and earned the right to engage their neighbors in a meaningful exchange of ideas on universal questions.

There is a role for pious Westerners on the continent—but this is most certainly not it.

Related Reading: Brief history of modern evangelism in Africa

Four audio recordings of Ugandans with different points of view on homosexuality.

The Coup d’Etat is Back

The Coup d’Etat is Back

Clattering Coups
By Conor Godfrey

Anyone who followed African news in the 1960s, 70s, or 80s, would be forgiven for thinking that a coup d’état once every five to ten years was written into West African constitutions. Yet, like small cars and women’s boots, shooting your way into the presidential palace is back in style.

Last Thursday in Niger the Supreme Council for the Restoration of Democracy followed in the footsteps of neighboring Guinea and Mauritania by seizing democratically elected President Mamadou Tandja at gunpoint.

So why are West African governments falling like dominoes? Oil and drugs.

I do not mean to ignore the host of possible global and local factors that may also bear some responsibility (global downturn, commodity prices, localized disputes), but I think we are seeing the first bubbles of instability rising from a torrent of illicit cash derived from the drug trade and the prospect of mind-blowing oil profits.

Drugs first: For some time predominantly South American drug cartels have been using weak West African states as transit points for Europe-bound product. Guinea-Bissau has the honor of being labeled Africa’s first “Narco-State,” but its southern neighbor, Guinea-Conakry, is in contention for that dubious distinction.

In 2009 the Guinean government exposed “drug labs” in Guinea used to facilitate this narcotics trade. That same year a smuggling ring involving former President Conte’s son was shut down in the southern city of Boke.

According to the Center for Strategic and International Studies, drug cargoes make the trip from coastal countries by convoy through Mauritania to Niger and beyond.

Notice that every country along that route has experienced a coup in the last two years. The revenue streaming in from cartels to corrupt officials dramatically alters the calculus of those in power and those who would see them ousted.

Let me put the problem in its appropriate financial context: when I worked in Guinea as a teacher I made $220 per month. This dwarfed the official salary of my Guinean principal and roughly equaled the official salary of his boss the superintendent. Imagine what a South American drug cartel could do with several thousand dollars, or several tens of thousands? It would be a tag sale of epic and disastrous proportions.

Oil: Experts predict that the Gulf of Guinea will soon account for 7% of the world’s total oil reserves. Exploration is underway in all but two West African countries (Burkina Faso and Cape Verde), and Ghana will become an oil producer as early as the last quarter of this year. Oil money, much like drug money, lends itself to secrecy and corruption.

Could the prospect of such easy-to-pocket money underlie the recent decisions by several West African leaders to stage ‘constitutional coups’ by amending their countries’ constitutions in order to serve additional terms? Nobody wants to leave office the year before money literally starts exploding out of the ground.

There is blood in the water, and the sharks will not be denied. The coup d’etat is back in vogue, and investors and policy makers should expect this fad to last through the season.

Related Reading
This instability map of Africa also shows the location of significant mineral extraction points. The correlation between mineral wealth and instability jumps out immediately. Imagine what might happen when oil-producing icons start to pop up all over West Africa? If you are more of a concrete thinker, just look at Nigeria.